Merry-Memorial
0xb521e16439501b1aa363ab0b6a695d93c17034ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$27.6K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
10000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.8K
$365.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
5000 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.0K
$102.50
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
5000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$402.50
- NO
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
4000 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$118.00
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3600 shares @ 78.1¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.1K
$-687.99
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$7.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
1500 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.35
- YES
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.35
- YES
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.35
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$11.87May 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$9.4KMay 2, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$4.8KMay 2, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$32.33May 2, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$5.9KMay 2, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$8.8KMay 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$609.31May 1, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$326.32Apr 30, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.97Apr 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$8.16Apr 30, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$14.76Apr 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$31.00Apr 30, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.49Apr 30, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3.8KApr 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$3.5KApr 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.0KApr 30, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$980.13Apr 30, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.0KApr 30, 17:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.45Apr 5, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$931.80Apr 4, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $738.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 19:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".