Gloomy-Frigate
0xbc998383c7397ae62e7f7c738047617e4c2dae7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$64.58
Total PnL
$39.68
Realised
$1.04
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$5.10
- YES
Ryan Wedding arrested by June 30?
5 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.99
$4.69
- NO
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?
22 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.29
$0.11
- YES
US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$0.34
- NO
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
21 shares @ 13.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.07
$0.25
- NO
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
3 shares @ 5.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.88
$2.70
- YES
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 3.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.52
$2.44
- NO
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?
2 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.17
$2.00
- LABOUR
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$2.05
$1.10
- NO
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
2 shares @ 8.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.82
$1.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner confirmed relationship by June 30?$1.85May 18, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?$0.00May 16, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Comey leave the country by May 15?$0.00May 16, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?$4.18May 16, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner confirmed relationship by June 30?$0.04May 15, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLParis Hilton pregnant in 2026?$1.12May 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release a surprise album?$0.06May 14, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$1.40May 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?$0.22May 12, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?$0.00May 11, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?$2.18May 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLParis Hilton pregnant in 2026?$0.24May 9, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLParis Hilton pregnant in 2026?$0.76May 9, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?$1.91May 9, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?$0.00May 9, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?$1.08May 8, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Hilton pregnant in 2026?$0.71May 7, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Hilton pregnant in 2026?$0.19May 7, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?$1.50May 7, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?$1.00May 6, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".