Violent-Reference
0xbd3002fb3b4b783732d21ea099461dccf3ea685b
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$300.82
Total PnL
$40.48
Realised
$5.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
142 shares @ 52.3¢·now 74.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$105.81
$31.32
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
90 shares @ 51.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.05
$11.45
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
40 shares @ 53.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.58
$11.39
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
90 shares @ 38.1¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.80
$-5.50
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.70
$-0.70
- NO
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
20 shares @ 41.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.60
$3.40
- YES
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.50
$3.50
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
380 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.31
$7.55
- YES
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
42 shares @ 39.3¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$7.06
$-9.24
- YES
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?$6.17May 19, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?$0.99May 19, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?$24.99May 19, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$21.59May 19, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?$15.59May 19, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00May 19, 04:25 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.74May 19, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.14May 18, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$18.00May 18, 09:00 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.99May 18, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$18.07May 17, 18:15 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.52May 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.20May 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$6.27May 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$3.19May 15, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00May 15, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 15, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 15, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00May 15, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 15, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $8.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".