Medical-Independence
0xbece2de4a4f90956fdd1b9fa1dd0164b54b9113a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$22.83
Total PnL
$-130.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$10.97
$5.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 22.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.72
$-6.28
- NO
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.91
$-9.09
- YES
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.73
$-9.27
- YES
Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
254 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
115 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$5.00Mar 22, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$10.00Mar 21, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$0.00Mar 21, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$0.00Mar 21, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$0.00Mar 21, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$0.00Mar 21, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.00Mar 10, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$13.81Mar 10, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$5.00Mar 3, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$10.00Mar 2, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?$10.00Mar 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$47.51Mar 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?$10.00Feb 28, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?$10.00Feb 28, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $11.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".