Delayed-Debt
0xbf499de98d83cccf9eb0aa4f1cb0a1b228126cfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$405.21
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$125.76
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
1399 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$181.87
$13.99
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
411 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$129.47
$-6.17
- YES
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
150 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$51.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
41 shares @ 77.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$39.67
$8.02
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
59 shares @ 22.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$-10.94
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$-0.73
- UNDER
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5
687 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-470.47
- OVER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
670 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-234.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
617 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-327.01
- BLACKBURN BEAVERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
562 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-112.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$545.89Apr 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$235.68Apr 27, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$111.72Apr 23, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$118.32Apr 23, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$114.60Apr 23, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$373.14Apr 23, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$56.00Apr 17, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$88.00Apr 17, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$316.50Apr 17, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$168.30Apr 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$119.35Apr 11, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$152.95Apr 11, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$168.30Apr 11, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$280.08Apr 10, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$22.50Apr 9, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$419.85Apr 9, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.30Apr 9, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$31.65Apr 7, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$691.31Apr 7, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$36.50Apr 7, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $196.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".