Required-Spit
0xbf4d202382ba5702721a8c43126f5f08163733ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$44.3K
Total PnL
$11.5K
Realised
$4.3K
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
10221 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.7K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
14765 shares @ 37.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.4K
$3.9K
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
10202 shares @ 60.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.6K
$2.5K
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
15844 shares @ 43.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.7K
$-200.56
- NO
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
6554 shares @ 80.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.8K
$557.86
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
3232 shares @ 76.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.7K
$184.06
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
7039 shares @ 28.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$-1.0K
- NO
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?
424 shares @ 88.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$381.30
$5.14
- NO
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
19 shares @ 67.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.49
$1.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 66.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.07
$1.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$753.22May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$260.75May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$4.79May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$849.94May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1.73May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1.6KMay 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$6.92May 18, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$0.00May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$4.56May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$326.68May 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$129.82May 18, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$164.20May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$106.87May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$143.54May 18, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$1.1KMay 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$269.25May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$188.00May 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$388.52May 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$94.00May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$376.00May 18, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $211.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".