Likable-Temporariness
0xc15cad59b14079fb7a553c483ac5262c15746549
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-376.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10627 shares @ 9.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$887.32
$-157.60
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1049 shares @ 6.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$94.41
$24.41
- YES
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2048 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$63.48
$-37.51
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
87 shares @ 63.3¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.05
$1.05
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
287 shares @ 28.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.27
$-30.58
- YES
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
229 shares @ 19.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.72
$0.72
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
65 shares @ 61.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
96 shares @ 41.8¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.76
$-6.24
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.75
$3.75
- YES
China coup attempt before 2027?
989 shares @ 7.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.65
$-40.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00May 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08May 18, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?$4.00May 16, 22:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.10May 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$5.00May 14, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.41May 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.39May 14, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.36May 14, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.74May 14, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$17.45May 14, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$19.60May 14, 08:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$7.03May 11, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.40May 11, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $20.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".