Austere-Porch
0xc3bd5de388fcc08cd9c7617134687cd2402f1324
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$25.80
Total PnL
$-374.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
329 shares @ 15.9¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.36
$-41.92
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.42
$-4.58
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
9 shares @ 55.9¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.04
$-3.96
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
25 shares @ 40.8¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.65
$-9.35
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
4903 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.42
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
2764 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
591 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?$0.00Apr 15, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$6.25Apr 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$5.00Apr 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 13, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00Apr 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?$5.00Apr 13, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 13, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$50.42Apr 11, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$5.17Apr 11, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?$6.10Apr 11, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$10.87Apr 11, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$12.66Apr 11, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$15.63Apr 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$15.62Mar 2, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$15.63Mar 1, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$133.72Mar 1, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$133.72Mar 1, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$9.94Feb 28, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$10.00Feb 28, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $11.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 21:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".