Disguised-Spider
0xc40681969b90c1e54527775fa48273a06bef07d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$46.5K
Total PnL
$-10.5K
Realised
$881.91
Win rate
80%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
7000 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.0K
$212.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
7049 shares @ 4.6¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.5K
$6.2K
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
3622 shares @ 79.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$448.42
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
3076 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$1.7K
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
3877 shares @ 66.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$355.55
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
4738 shares @ 52.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$184.31
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.4K
$2.4K
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2260 shares @ 32.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.9K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1525 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$220.42
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
1575 shares @ 87.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-1.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.21May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.21May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.21May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.20May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.20May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.20May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.21May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.23May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.28May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.30May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.31May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.31May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.32May 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.30May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.85May 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.92May 3, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.97May 2, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.85May 2, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$3.71May 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?$18.43May 1, 20:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $101.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".