Raw-Contributor
0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$15.1K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$682.54
Win rate
88%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
3925 shares @ 68.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.4K
$-277.05
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4437 shares @ 41.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.0K
$155.69
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1866 shares @ 31.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$718.28
$140.64
- NO
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
708 shares @ 68.4¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$623.43
$138.76
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
928 shares @ 54.7¢·now 58.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$538.27
$30.65
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1282 shares @ 39.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$467.96
$-32.05
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
782 shares @ 47.9¢·now 58.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$455.26
$80.27
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
806 shares @ 41.8¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$394.73
$57.85
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
1725 shares @ 24.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$388.21
$-36.79
- NO
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
358 shares @ 81.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$317.06
$25.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$50.00May 18, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Uncle" or "Unc" this week?$25.26May 18, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?$21.16May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.35May 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$101.64May 18, 04:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.12May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$120.58May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.07May 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.83May 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.60May 17, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?$2.92May 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00May 17, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.51May 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?$2.92May 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.04May 17, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.01May 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$19.39May 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$57.50May 17, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$2.20May 17, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $33.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".