Playful-Collateral
0xc6628e0ca87e439bba57294dc8fd7a503a7bb919
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$14.6K
Total PnL
$317.88
Realised
$490.58
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
3749 shares @ 79.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$323.96
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
2658 shares @ 74.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$201.65
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
1410 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$120.33
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1455 shares @ 72.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.3K
$200.40
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1437 shares @ 87.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-8.90
- NO
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?
1042 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$938.06
$31.22
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
996 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$881.17
$65.08
- NO
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
913 shares @ 83.6¢·now 91.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$833.09
$70.20
- NO
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
563 shares @ 77.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$504.17
$68.26
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
600 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$429.00
$3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$48.85May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$185.35May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15.53May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$48.30May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$132.00May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$25.47May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$425.00May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?$247.77May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$7.86May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$12.53May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$16.95May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$157.49May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$321.51May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$189.51May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 18, 00:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.91May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$81.46May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14.24May 18, 00:26 UTC
- REWARD$6.26May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$71.14May 17, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $88.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".