Verifiable-Export
0xc83846681155981b90c553d298a063f424e13333
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$105.71
Total PnL
$-14.4K
Realised
$-2.7K
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on May 24?
100 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$99.45
$0.55
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
498 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-248.87
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
498 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-248.87
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
497 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-248.12
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
497 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-248.12
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
495 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-247.37
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
494 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-246.75
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
493 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-246.25
- YES
Will Joao Pedro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
492 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.25
$-245.75
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
490 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.24
$-244.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$383.60May 22, 10:45 UTC
- SPLITWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$384.00May 22, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$383.80May 22, 10:44 UTC
- SPLITWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$384.20May 22, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on May 24?$98.95May 22, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$483.50May 21, 12:34 UTC
- SPLITWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$484.00May 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$481.66May 21, 12:31 UTC
- SPLITWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$482.16May 21, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$484.50May 20, 06:36 UTC
- SPLITWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$485.00May 20, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$484.67May 20, 06:35 UTC
- SPLITWill Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$485.17May 20, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.25May 20, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$485.49May 19, 07:45 UTC
- SPLITWill David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$486.00May 19, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$485.49May 19, 07:42 UTC
- SPLITWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$486.00May 19, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.24May 19, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$485.68May 18, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $378.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".