Mushy-Bacterium
0xc974c6ab4032e89aef89bf2489709905ef41eb16
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$13.5K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-166.18
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?
6861 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.9K
$22.28
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?
2081 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.1K
$65.74
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$10.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$825.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4605 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$766.70
$-2.30
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3521 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$399.68
$1.76
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
350 shares @ 80.3¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$315.00
$34.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
300 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$283.50
$13.50
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$169.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$164.98
$11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$3.8KMay 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$853.11May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$58.53May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$371.45May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$44.00May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$266.47May 18, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$599.69May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$118.91May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$110.11May 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$108.48May 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$199.04May 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$199.04May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$248.80May 18, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$2.1KMay 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$4.7KMay 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.77May 18, 05:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$47.69May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 18, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $267.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".