Quirky-Jackfruit
0xca8f0374e3fc79b485499cc0b038d4f7e783d963
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$459.13
Total PnL
$112.59
Realised
$64.73
Win rate
63%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
96 shares @ 10.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$78.22
$68.62
- NO
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
84 shares @ 2.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.19
$60.51
- YES
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 10.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.20
$9.20
- YES
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.00
$11.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
140 shares @ 4.3¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.46
$13.51
- YES
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
190 shares @ 5.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.35
$3.80
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
76 shares @ 6.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.64
$6.08
- YES
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
150 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.28
$-1.72
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$10.00May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$7.00May 16, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$29.96May 15, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$2.10May 15, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$1.45May 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$8.49May 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?$0.13May 14, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "You, Me & Tuscany" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.10May 14, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Wasteland Cop" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.10May 14, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga and Alfonso López Chau advance to the runoff?$0.10May 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.40May 14, 11:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?$1.68May 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0.03May 13, 11:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?$7.00May 12, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.00May 12, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ollie Watkins be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.03May 12, 05:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$2.00May 11, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".