Determined-Percentage
0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$355.0K
Total PnL
$-43.0K
Realised
$4.5K
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
114826 shares @ 91.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$109.7K
$4.8K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
80000 shares @ 72.1¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.6K
$-2.1K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
56503 shares @ 75.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.9K
$6.4K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
16500 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.4K
$17.51
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
22541 shares @ 10.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$14.3K
$12.0K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$12.1K
$-1.1K
- NO
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
12269 shares @ 82.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$12.0K
$1.9K
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
10214 shares @ 86.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$10.2K
$1.4K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
10085 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.9K
$15.23
- NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?
9269 shares @ 75.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.0K
$2.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.89May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$70.33May 17, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.0KMay 17, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$87.40May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$75.75May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.7KMay 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$339.19May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.74May 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jennifer's Body" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$421.16May 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Home" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$9.95May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$99.33May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Black Phone 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$11.63May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Proposal" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$225.27May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Striking Distance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$117.37May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Pretty Woman" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$434.76May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mother's Day" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$108.95May 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Home" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$19.80May 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jennifer's Body" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$9.90May 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$583.61May 17, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$223.22May 17, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $544.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".