Classic-Parallelogram
0xce4d7123b294829c505302800fc7bc0590b3d0e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$21.5K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-570.92
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1009 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$995.38
$43.64
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1000 shares @ 92.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$940.00
$16.00
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
1000 shares @ 88.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$914.78
$29.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1150 shares @ 75.9¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$707.25
$-165.25
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1087 shares @ 64.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$614.12
$-88.12
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
600 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$561.00
$63.00
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
500 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$495.50
$27.50
- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
1930 shares @ 85.6¢·now 25.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$491.19
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$487.25
$27.25
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
610 shares @ 81.9¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$433.10
$-66.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$91.00May 18, 03:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$94.60May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?$48.32May 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$34.93May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$34.93May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Couvillon be the Republican nominee for GA-09?$60.21May 17, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Clyde be the Republican nominee for GA-09?$1.00May 17, 09:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$0.00May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$14.24May 16, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$10.80May 16, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$3.59May 16, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$36.00May 16, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$1.59May 16, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$2.17May 16, 04:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$0.26May 15, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$0.26May 15, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$5.10May 15, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $19.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".