Kosher-Twig
0xceb5b98c80ce5f356e1263722d2af6dc672bf397
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$176.01
Total PnL
$-23.63
Realised
$1.99
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
15 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.88
$0.88
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
12 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.95
$-0.05
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
10 shares @ 94.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?
9 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.54
$0.54
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
9 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.17
$0.17
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
9 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.06
$0.06
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
9 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.74
$-0.26
- NO
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
7 shares @ 96.6¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?
8 shares @ 91.6¢·now 86.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.61
$-0.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$9.00May 17, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$8.00May 17, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 13 countries in 2026?$7.00May 17, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$8.00May 17, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.07May 17, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?$7.03May 17, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$17.03May 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.14May 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$5.99May 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$3.76May 17, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$8.15May 17, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$8.26May 17, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$7.68May 17, 01:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$10.67May 16, 03:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$7.00May 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$8.08May 15, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce the release of detained Americans?$8.04May 15, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".