0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$169.3K
Total PnL
$-425.22
Realised
$5.0K
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46192 shares @ 69.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$27.5K
$-4.6K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
101837 shares @ 31.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.0K
$-6.6K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
25000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.4K
$4.4K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
52266 shares @ 38.3¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.9K
$-1.1K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
37846 shares @ 34.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.7K
$-325.74
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
258472 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.0K
$348.42
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
13245 shares @ 47.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.4K
$2.2K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
44094 shares @ 18.7¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.2K
$-25.00
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
5000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.1K
$550.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
188290 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.0K
$496.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.00May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.53May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.63May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.74May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.60May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.25May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$600.00May 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.62May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$514.75May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.37May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.33May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.23May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.63May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25.00May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.67May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.94May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.67May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.82May 18, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.33May 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00May 18, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $77.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".