Quaint-Past
0xd1613bfcccbe2d37b4a51b53fd372777c047bcf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$490.89
Total PnL
$-728.58
Realised
$50.87
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
862 shares @ 35.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$271.53
$-30.17
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
87 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.69
$9.13
- YES
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
295 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$51.63
$-4.42
- NO
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
43 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$43.00
$13.76
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 84.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.66
$1.58
- NO
Will Will Boyd win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
9 shares @ 90.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.97
$0.79
- YES
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
4 shares @ 12.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.98
$3.50
- NO
Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
39 shares @ 96.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.13
$-36.31
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$0.08
- YES
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 25.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.33
$-1.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$160.92Apr 27, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$84.96Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$122.94Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$26.82Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$25.92Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$24.48Apr 23, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$25.33Apr 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$291.72Apr 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$53.28Apr 23, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North West release an album by December 31?$158.25Apr 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$321.59Apr 13, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$0.80Apr 11, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$7.44Apr 11, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$86.56Apr 11, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$346.18Apr 10, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$56.05Apr 10, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$154.70Apr 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$11.20Apr 10, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCentral Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lions$249.99Apr 10, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$55.84Apr 9, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $165.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 03:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".