Damaged-Marshmallow
0xd263c0027781ed9bbbf323f1ac78c0ab6f4e6fa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$61.08
Total PnL
$-3.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?
23 shares @ 97.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.41
$-0.97
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$19.77
$-0.11
- NO
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
22 shares @ 90.7¢·now 77.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.02
$-2.85
- NO
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.88
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17.00May 18, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17.01May 18, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$19.88May 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.59May 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$17.44May 17, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.03May 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$15.33May 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$15.33May 17, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $18.30May 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $18.40May 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$24.62May 16, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$24.62May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$16.11May 15, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1.93May 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$18.07May 14, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.78May 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.05May 14, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$18.11May 14, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$23.99May 13, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$23.99May 13, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".