Probable-Ivory
0xd35838aee09652eff9469be973fd97463b1d5206
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$21.34
Total PnL
$-204.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- SALFORD CITY FC
Spread: Notts County FC (-1.5)
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$9.15
$0.05
- NO
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- OVER
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$4.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
17 shares @ 14.8¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$2.59
$0.09
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?
53 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 12?
33 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.76
- YES
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?
24 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNotts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5$5.09May 25, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$2.61May 25, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?$5.08May 25, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?$3.11May 25, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMInter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5$0.00May 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?$5.06May 25, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.14May 25, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Notts County FC (-1.5)$9.13May 25, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMInter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5$13.33May 25, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYInter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5$10.07May 24, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?$14.93May 24, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$4.26May 24, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?$15.43May 24, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.76May 24, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?$14.56May 24, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)$14.27May 24, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)$10.09May 24, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?$7.11May 24, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?$5.07May 24, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?$5.09May 24, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".