0xd3c4d5c946bf22f147b520a83db7109cb020bcf3
0xd3c4d5c946bf22f147b520a83db7109cb020bcf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$71.30
Total PnL
$0.25
Realised
$-4.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
54 shares @ 61.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.00
$10.76
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
11 shares @ 76.6¢·now 76.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.43
$0.01
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
8 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.60
$0.36
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
5 shares @ 90.1¢·now 91.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.56
$0.06
- NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
5 shares @ 79.5¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$-0.97
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
11 shares @ 40.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.69
$-1.70
- YES
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$-1.07
- NO
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 21.2¢·now 8.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.75
- YES
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
9 shares @ 24.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-2.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.92Apr 27, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.16Apr 27, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$3.85Apr 27, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.57Apr 24, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$6.24Apr 24, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.33Apr 24, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$3.94Apr 24, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.82Apr 21, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$5.58Apr 21, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.56Apr 21, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$5.56Apr 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.56Apr 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$4.14Apr 16, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $7.04Apr 16, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $1.80Apr 16, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $6.80Apr 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $2.40Apr 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$18.24Apr 11, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.20Apr 11, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$17.20Apr 9, 03:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 15:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".