Irresponsible-Bibliography
0xd4b87375a3b916d7e5ca4428baabecadb9047bf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-18.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
57 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.69
$3.69
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$52.32
$1.93
- NO
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
53 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 30, 2026$50.40
$0.40
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
54 shares @ 93.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$49.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
56 shares @ 90.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$48.63
$-1.47
- NO
Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
54 shares @ 93.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.87
$-5.13
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
60 shares @ 84.2¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$43.58
$-6.67
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
38 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.84
$0.84
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
38 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.00
$0.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$103.09May 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$100.21May 17, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$4.54May 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$4.04May 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$2.23May 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$2.02May 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$4.42May 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$2.03May 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$2.03May 17, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$0.01May 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$336.42May 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$333.48May 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$0.12May 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$2.03May 17, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$316.67May 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$300.21May 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$10.03May 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.01May 17, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.81May 17, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $32.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".