Fearless-Bank
0xd6df92c74d385f418690dda509518dac283a1290
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$924.53
Total PnL
$-21.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 22?
400 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$400.00
$0.40
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 84.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$167.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
100 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$99.35
$1.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$74.50
$-15.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$52.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
70 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$33.25
$-0.35
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.13
$-0.13
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.30
$-0.10
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.00
$0.09
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$9.05
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$0.05May 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$9.91May 22, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.60May 22, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 22?$399.63May 22, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$7.61May 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.80May 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$9.68May 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$9.20May 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$34.30May 22, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$54.00May 22, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$8.16May 22, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$20.40May 22, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$16.52May 22, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$5.23May 22, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$1.45May 22, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$4.70May 22, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 20?$100.00May 21, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 20?$543.00May 21, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 20?$541.48May 20, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 20?$99.81May 20, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $984.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 23:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".