Stunning-Organizing
0xd8f357fa0086a1df8d4cae0339193e74654180e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-824.07
Realised
$-42.36
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
702 shares @ 73.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$593.19
$76.02
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
567 shares @ 87.3¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$462.01
$-33.19
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1396 shares @ 47.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$286.18
$-378.93
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
120 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.60
$10.20
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
198 shares @ 73.6¢·now 30.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.79
$-86.16
- YES
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
259 shares @ 8.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.74
$6.98
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1485 shares @ 16.6¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.82
$-228.83
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
178 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.13
$2.67
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
706 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.41
$-42.01
- NO
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
497 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.21
$-32.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$13.04May 14, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$13.41May 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?$128.82May 4, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$22.18Apr 30, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$186.18Apr 22, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLDan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?$57.25Apr 15, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$97.87Apr 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLDan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?$19.35Apr 13, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$87.00Apr 10, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$48.40Apr 8, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$11.55Apr 7, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$36.39Apr 7, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.85Apr 7, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBrian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?$0.65Apr 6, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$5.36Apr 4, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$32.11Apr 3, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$58.00Apr 3, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$3.23Apr 3, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$9.65Apr 2, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$15.60Apr 2, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $44.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".