Elegant-Washer
0xda89396c90b0db5ecfa299cf5a693f1a3d8cf562
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$46.79
Total PnL
$-12.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.00
$0.13
- NO
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.94
$0.84
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.52
$-0.28
- NO
Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.45
$-0.25
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.67
$0.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.67
$0.17
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.23
$-0.07
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$-0.20
- NO
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 28.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.44
$-0.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?$4.80May 21, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 21?$5.00May 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?$1.25May 21, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?$2.50May 21, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 21?$2.55May 21, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$3.30May 21, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 20?$5.00May 21, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?$5.00May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?$1.40May 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 20?$4.85May 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 21?$0.01May 20, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 21?$0.07May 20, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?$4.20May 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?$2.74May 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?$1.68May 20, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$5.00May 20, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$5.00May 20, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00May 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 22?$0.45May 19, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?$1.06May 19, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".