Frail-Flash
0xdc814e7371182f4752a14363ddf85b038f824f06
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$141.28
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$165.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
210 shares @ 7.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$70.21
$55.54
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$28.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
12 shares @ 95.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.59
$-0.41
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
21 shares @ 67.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$7.75
$-6.25
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
69 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $13.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".