Pleasant-Obligation
0xdd2ce8f392e0886a11a9a8b294445079498af823
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$-272.39
Realised
$579.70
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
4870 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$72.50
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3200 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.2K
$24.00
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3082 shares @ 18.1¢·now 35.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.1K
$525.03
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
320 shares @ 70.8¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$208.00
$-18.40
- NO
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
347 shares @ 76.3¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$121.38
$-143.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-387.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-450.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
336 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-158.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
173 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-107.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
110 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-56.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$668.13May 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.2KMay 14, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.0KMay 14, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$41.72May 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$3.89May 14, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$2.16May 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$18.18May 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$1.51May 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$417.65May 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$24.52May 13, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$319.67May 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLPeru General Election invalidated by June 30?$3.5KMay 13, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.38May 13, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.02May 12, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$790.40May 12, 15:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$18.49May 6, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$50.00May 5, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$93.15May 5, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$7.50May 5, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $189.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".