Serious-Authority
0xe1f16e2f82deeca14603e4fcc20b90a4f2aa3a05
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-480.34
Realised
$413.36
Win rate
63%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
1108 shares @ 21.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$304.72
$67.79
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1132 shares @ 23.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$288.60
$28.30
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
649 shares @ 28.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$217.51
$29.73
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1091 shares @ 14.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$180.06
$25.30
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?
168 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$156.87
$4.19
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
1035 shares @ 14.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.08
$-3.03
- NO
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
402 shares @ 39.7¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$112.53
$-46.94
- YES
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
588 shares @ 3.9¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$96.44
$73.38
- YES
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?
299 shares @ 28.3¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$68.82
$-15.86
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
551 shares @ 11.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$68.82
$6.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $12.97May 18, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.20May 18, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.74May 18, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score$0.00May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5$0.00May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5$0.00May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nashville SC (-1.5)$0.00May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5$0.64May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5$223.55May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5$262.10May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score$300.00May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wesley Said be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludovic Ajorque be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5$77.62May 18, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5$149.29May 18, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5$300.00May 18, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nashville SC (-1.5)$24.51May 18, 01:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $19.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".