0xe316f354517f14344aaac402e1366323bbc71766
0xe316f354517f14344aaac402e1366323bbc71766
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$437.84
Total PnL
$-173.85
Realised
$-82.34
Win rate
36%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
97 shares @ 86.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$95.45
$11.25
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 50.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.47
$28.17
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
61 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$60.89
$2.20
- NO
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
56 shares @ 97.7¢·now 91.6¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$51.07
$-3.37
- NO
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
28 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.47
$0.40
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 66.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$18.21
$5.93
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
18 shares @ 78.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$17.68
$3.62
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$17.66
$0.55
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
14 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.63
$1.23
- NO
Will Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
11 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$11.49
$0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 18, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 18, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$19.48May 18, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$0.39May 17, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.57May 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$0.07May 17, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.58May 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.09May 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.41May 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.28May 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.03May 17, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$16.89May 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$0.04May 17, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$0.00May 17, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 17, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 17, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 17, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$16.47May 17, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 17, 04:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".