Minor-Vanilla
0xe38144dd45632a9f59fe210038f8c0e99de13ba9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$191.59
Total PnL
$105.84
Realised
$29.49
Win rate
100%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kyoji Horiguchi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
75 shares @ 0.3¢·now 34.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.99
$25.76
- YES
Will Ogen Driskill win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
150 shares @ 0.4¢·now 5.7¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$8.46
$7.91
- YES
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
33 shares @ 2.4¢·now 24.6¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$8.22
$7.42
- YES
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?
80 shares @ 0.9¢·now 9.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.88
$7.18
- NO
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
36 shares @ 2.2¢·now 21.3¢·exp May 6, 2026$7.75
$6.95
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next?
219 shares @ 0.4¢·now 3.2¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$7.02
$6.22
- DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC
Spread: Dunfermline Athletic FC (-2.5)
40 shares @ 2.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.80
$6.00
- YES
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 5.4¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.40
$4.80
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1851 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.63
$0.93
- YES
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
62 shares @ 1.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.62
$3.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?$0.02May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.45May 18, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-16?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Islam Makhachev fight Max Holloway next?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republic of Ireland vs. Grenada end in a draw?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grenada win on 2026-05-16?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avellino achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".