0xe3f62167f3c95ed486ddc4dc76cfdf5f796932a4
0xe3f62167f3c95ed486ddc4dc76cfdf5f796932a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$112.57
Total PnL
$9.18
Realised
$7.93
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16 shares @ 68.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8 shares @ 67.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.04
$2.39
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?
7 shares @ 82.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
7 shares @ 57.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$4.57
$0.56
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.11
$0.11
- YES
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
6 shares @ 78.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.61
$1.49
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?
2 shares @ 92.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.00May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.09May 18, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$0.00May 13, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 11, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 9, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00May 2, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00May 2, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?$1.35May 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00May 2, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?$1.00May 1, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$3.18May 1, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$1.00May 1, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$1.00May 1, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$1.00May 1, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?$1.01May 1, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 1, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$1.16May 1, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.37May 1, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$2.16May 1, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$0.00May 1, 15:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 07:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".