Knotty-Tenant
0xe43276477c00367cef6fb36c76aed61ef6574610
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$985.95
Total PnL
$-21.85
Realised
$15.36
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 10.8¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$137.50
$29.50
- NO
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
898 shares @ 15.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$130.18
$-10.13
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
836 shares @ 7.3¢·now 15.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$127.49
$66.46
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
700 shares @ 19.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$115.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7600 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$110.20
$6.30
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3400 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$100.30
$45.90
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$80.00
$20.00
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$55.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
270 shares @ 15.4¢·now 14.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$37.85
$-3.89
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1300 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$33.02
$-18.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$31.38May 15, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17.77May 15, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.26May 15, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$31.20May 15, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$31.20May 14, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.05May 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$14.80May 14, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$4.39May 14, 01:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$27.65May 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$54.69May 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$54.43May 13, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$9.19May 13, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$78.00May 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$93.25May 13, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$11.72May 13, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $32.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".