Vigilant-Railing
0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$131.2K
Total PnL
$-153.5K
Realised
$8.5K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
80860 shares @ 75.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.5K
$6.4K
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
62892 shares @ 30.5¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$25.5K
$6.3K
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
12394 shares @ 79.4¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.0K
$-796.84
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6338 shares @ 80.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.9K
$843.86
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5979 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$149.47
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
6150 shares @ 74.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$185.23
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
4095 shares @ 89.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$257.05
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2472 shares @ 67.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$480.81
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1871 shares @ 87.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$7.06
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1723 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$95.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$1.4KMay 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$6.6KMay 14, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$140.8KMay 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$294.1KMay 14, 22:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 3, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $17.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".