0xe5e59ff5136098bce48590e5ef70940bef9a485a
0xe5e59ff5136098bce48590e5ef70940bef9a485a
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$151.99
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-133.79
Win rate
8%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
58 shares @ 14.0¢·now 75.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.23
$36.08
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
40 shares @ 23.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.52
$16.42
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 26.3¢·now 66.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.40
$11.74
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
33 shares @ 24.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.76
$10.93
- NO
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
25 shares @ 30.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.95
$1.59
- NO
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
32 shares @ 22.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.85
$0.78
- YES
Will Jason Duey be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
673 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$6.40
$0.29
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
44 shares @ 20.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$5.09
$-3.90
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
39 shares @ 17.5¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.65
$-2.13
- YES
Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
995 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.49
$-4.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$4.22May 18, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?$12.50May 16, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.53May 16, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$5.00May 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$5.09May 11, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?$5.14May 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ballroom project unblocked by May 31?$5.10May 10, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$5.13May 10, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?$5.15May 10, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$5.00May 10, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$5.09May 9, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?$5.18May 9, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$5.00May 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?$5.20May 8, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.25May 8, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 8, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$5.07May 7, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$5.11May 7, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?$5.29May 7, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?$5.49May 6, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".