Murky-Margarine
0xe807669773bfbf08918c61d0191fd7db12ee4d35
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$19.0K
Total PnL
$-397.72
Realised
$-53.24
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
9731 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$9.7K
$12.21
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
5000 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.9K
$15.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1881 shares @ 96.6¢·now 91.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.7K
$-98.74
- YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
1000 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$999.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
743 shares @ 96.4¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$661.10
$-54.73
- YES
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
286 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$286.04
$0.69
- NO
Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
244 shares @ 90.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$214.60
$-6.76
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
103 shares @ 79.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$71.84
$-10.73
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
71 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.69
$0.80
- NO
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
88 shares @ 92.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$59.59
$-21.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$316.28May 18, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$680.72May 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$144.00May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$5.0KMay 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$3.5KMay 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$99.60May 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$93.30May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$93.60May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$99.80May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$95.00May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$384.40May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$192.40May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$270.37May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" this week?$5.75May 18, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$32.55May 18, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$100.00May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" this week?$3.64May 18, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$100.00May 18, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?$66.41May 18, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?$135.06May 18, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $513.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".