Tired-Pear
0xf2d06e7247b906c1029730d17f0fe0cf321444b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
127
Open notional
$275.70
Total PnL
$-188.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
207 shares @ 17.4¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.74
$1.74
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
440 shares @ 8.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
217 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
360 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
228 shares @ 9.2¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.22
$-2.78
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
591 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.61
$-0.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$1.00May 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.00May 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion$2.06May 17, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.03May 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$1.03May 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$1.04May 17, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$1.05May 17, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.01May 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.02May 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.01May 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.02May 17, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.04May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.03May 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" this week?$1.03May 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.01May 17, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$1.03May 17, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".