Polite-Armadillo
0xf30d58e2c32324d72c8d62f911303c4d0606d71f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$393.30
Total PnL
$-230.56
Realised
$18.24
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
195 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
65 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.85
$4.85
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
132 shares @ 68.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$56.25
$-33.75
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
67 shares @ 26.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.93
$9.93
- NO
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$21.48
$1.48
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
68 shares @ 29.5¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$15.27
$-4.73
- YES
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.90
$-0.70
- NO
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.79
$2.10
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.67
$0.59
- YES
Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 16.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.75
$1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$190.24May 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$20.12May 11, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$29.65Apr 25, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$25.00Apr 23, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$2.04Apr 21, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.08Apr 21, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.53Apr 21, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.04Apr 21, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.75Apr 21, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$23.53Apr 21, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$19.68Apr 21, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Apr 21, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$23.50Apr 20, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$7.60Apr 20, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$6.49Apr 13, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$11.43Apr 13, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.00Apr 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$14.61Apr 12, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$15.00Apr 12, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.00Apr 12, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $20.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".