Whispered-Observatory
0xf42f902951d059d451d715d01b1d33f7ed3789cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.55
Total PnL
$-5.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.65
$-0.35
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
103 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.04May 19, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.01May 19, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.02May 19, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.79May 19, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$1.03May 19, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?$1.01May 19, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$1.04May 19, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.03May 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.00May 15, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 15?$1.22May 15, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.00May 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 15?$1.01May 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.07May 14, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$7.51May 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.00May 14, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.00May 14, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.03May 14, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.08May 8, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Apr 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.00Apr 18, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".