Incredible-Complex
0xf49fba05d5aad41054c9aaa8c01ac05561272661
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$46.62
Total PnL
$4.05
Realised
$-1.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
59 shares @ 25.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$13.27
$-1.73
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
17 shares @ 29.1¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.64
$5.64
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.09
$1.09
- NO
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
12 shares @ 42.8¢·now 45.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
18 shares @ 27.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- NO
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.50
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?$1.54May 19, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?$5.15May 19, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?$5.11May 19, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$5.21May 19, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$5.19May 18, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$5.18May 18, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$5.14May 18, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.14May 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$5.18May 18, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.00May 18, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$0.00May 18, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?$0.00May 18, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thien Ho advance from the CA-06 primary election?$0.52May 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?$2.96May 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$2.67May 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.80May 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$5.68May 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.99May 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$6.25May 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$6.85May 18, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".