International-Newsletter
0xf66bb1374fc6bcece37b9f562eb5f5bedc95b1d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5337 shares @ 32.7¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-116.69
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
4253 shares @ 36.3¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-99.78
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
3103 shares @ 65.8¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$760.14
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
5605 shares @ 47.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$756.68
$-1.9K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
9897 shares @ 14.6¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$569.07
$-879.36
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3153 shares @ 34.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$551.86
$-541.79
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5129 shares @ 29.6¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$435.98
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1011 shares @ 39.6¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$356.73
$-43.27
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
800 shares @ 40.5¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$303.99
$-19.99
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6630 shares @ 29.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$298.36
$-1.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$724.60May 17, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$210.65May 6, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$372.96May 6, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$430.85May 6, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$165.00May 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$15.76May 3, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$20.00May 3, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$6.67May 3, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$2.00May 3, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.33May 3, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$3.39May 2, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$2.00May 2, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$3.33May 2, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$0.74May 2, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.30May 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.00May 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.00May 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$3.25May 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.00May 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.00May 2, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $98.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".