Far-Flung-Transom
0xf6c6f97260df6b37d0d047e756703f60ce6c7d80
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
141
Open notional
$46.0K
Total PnL
$2.3K
Realised
$324.42
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2700 shares @ 81.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$-107.86
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1920 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.7K
$-9.29
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
1559 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.5K
$18.25
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1544 shares @ 90.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$28.77
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1382 shares @ 77.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$130.24
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
1332 shares @ 69.8¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$161.88
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1321 shares @ 46.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$471.50
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
1012 shares @ 85.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$995.83
$130.42
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1021 shares @ 87.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$995.32
$105.32
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1024 shares @ 58.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$977.50
$377.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.55May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.69May 17, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$252.27May 17, 01:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.55May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$100.50May 16, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.00May 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$804.00May 16, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$201.21May 16, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.55May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$61.47May 15, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?$14.76May 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?$196.77May 15, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$25.94May 15, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$120.00May 15, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$128.52May 15, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$76.32May 15, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$33.43May 15, 02:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.55May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?$10.12May 14, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?$601.92May 14, 04:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $94.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".