Growling-Thread
0xf6efc51d2d9ba6954ba65dd9468576fcf91bc393
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$344.99
Total PnL
$-504.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
164 shares @ 91.4¢·now 87.6¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$143.88
$-6.12
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
71 shares @ 70.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.93
$13.93
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.73
$-1.27
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
62 shares @ 48.6¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.51
$-7.49
- NO
Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026?
31 shares @ 80.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.06
$-5.94
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
42 shares @ 60.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.12
$-11.88
- YES
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
10 shares @ 48.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.36
$5.36
- YES
Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
438 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$10.28
$0.28
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will AJ Brown be traded?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.25
$-3.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026?$25.15May 1, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$10.00May 1, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$5.10May 1, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$150.39May 1, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 2?$3.14May 1, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Brown be traded?$7.20May 1, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$10.29May 1, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$50.00May 1, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$71.52May 1, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$27.67May 1, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$65.91May 1, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$103.70May 1, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 13, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$84.00Apr 10, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$84.38Apr 10, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$81.00Apr 7, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$30.00Apr 7, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$50.07Apr 7, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$55.20Apr 7, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3.25Apr 7, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $35.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".