Legal-Ballpark
0xfc5e982a3370454d8a11dc52a30de526fadbde7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$87.58
Total PnL
$-151.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
54 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$17.01
$0.27
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
240 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.40
$-2.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
70 shares @ 33.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.55
$-11.55
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
80 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.80
$-10.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 4.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.25
$3.52
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
230 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.78
$1.72
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
611 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.80
$-2.14
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
100 shares @ 4.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$0.30
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
305 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.66
$-11.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?
400 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.20
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?$0.14May 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$1.00May 20, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.05May 20, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.05May 20, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.06May 20, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.06May 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.01May 20, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.05May 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.08May 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.08May 20, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.08May 20, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.08May 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.80May 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?$0.80May 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?$0.17May 19, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$5.06May 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?$6.65May 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$4.70May 18, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?$0.33May 17, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?$0.02May 17, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".