Venerated-Dawn
0xfdd1839bf9034f797dd7fe207197188717fe1829
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$337.40
Total PnL
$91.71
Realised
$456.80
Win rate
71%
165 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?
193 shares @ 19.6¢·now 14.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$27.64
$-10.04
- YES
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
198 shares @ 3.5¢·now 12.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$24.36
$17.40
- YES
Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
231 shares @ 0.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$15.34
$14.10
- YES
Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?
126 shares @ 2.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$14.20
$11.68
- YES
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$13.08
$3.36
- YES
Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
1022 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.78
$2.16
- YES
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
49 shares @ 11.5¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$11.72
$6.04
- YES
Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
429 shares @ 0.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.37
$8.78
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
257 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.03
$0.12
- YES
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?
78 shares @ 12.9¢·now 12.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.51
$-0.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.13May 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.06May 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.07May 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.16May 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$2.13May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$1.10May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$0.62May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$3.88May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$4.42May 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?$4.52May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$0.74May 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$0.38May 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$1.83May 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$0.56May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$3.14May 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?$2.32May 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?$1.28May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?$0.03May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$4.71May 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$5.10May 18, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 165 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".