Rude-Crossstitch
0x04045703a1b01f44ab8dfe125c51830082bf4719
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$252.53
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$1.81
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
75 shares @ 93.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.29
$-0.71
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 18, 2026$29.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
25 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$25.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
20 shares @ 98.9¢·now 81.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$16.51
$-3.49
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
18 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.82
$0.81
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.86
$0.86
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$10.30
$0.31
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?
10 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.81
$-0.19
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.68
$-0.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 17?$40.30May 18, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?$50.25May 18, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 17?$30.06May 18, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.53May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays$3.06May 18, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.02May 17, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?$30.30May 17, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$10.27May 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 18?$19.03May 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$2.01May 17, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$10.08May 17, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$2.01May 17, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays$3.00May 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?$5.02May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 18?$25.01May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 18?$15.02May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.01May 17, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$30.00May 17, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 17?$30.00May 17, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $20.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".