Majestic-Dysfunction
0x04902c7046da0f93f29d070b00f9366a165ac81f
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$56.7K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$114.47
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
20210 shares @ 58.8¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$17.2K
$5.3K
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
20155 shares @ 26.8¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$12.6K
$7.2K
- NO
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
8645 shares @ 56.3¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.3K
$2.4K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
54752 shares @ 8.2¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.7K
$223.82
- NO
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
4926 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$22.49
- NO
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
22581 shares @ 53.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.7K
$-8.4K
- NO
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?
2628 shares @ 93.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.6K
$163.97
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3333 shares @ 63.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.9K
$-149.98
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
2488 shares @ 30.2¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4544 shares @ 11.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$431.73
$-96.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.53May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.85May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.1KMay 17, 20:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.55May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.60May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$949.97May 16, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.0KMay 16, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.4KMay 16, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.22May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$59.31May 16, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.96May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.55May 16, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$4.91May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.75May 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.57May 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$18.00May 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$409.09May 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$409.09May 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$409.09May 15, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$403.52May 15, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $611.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".