Short-Term-Nightgown
0x070800b57ea1606dee46b649e7b5a1767a15f218
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$72.26
Total PnL
$-48.67
Realised
$-1.74
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 11.7¢·now 12.3¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$10.19
$0.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 8.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.15
$1.53
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
97 shares @ 12.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.25
$-3.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21?
31 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.54
$-1.87
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
81 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.08
$-3.65
- YES
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
62 shares @ 15.8¢·now 9.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.80
$-3.93
- YES
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.94
$0.53
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
7 shares @ 38.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.32
$1.71
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
175 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.67
$-4.94
- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
123 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.54
$0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristian$0.99May 18, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.99May 18, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.99May 18, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.08May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.04May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.03May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.10May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.10May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.18May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.12May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.09May 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.49May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.99May 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 18?$0.99May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.04May 17, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$3.31May 17, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.29May 17, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMHamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea$0.00May 17, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Vera Zvonareva$0.00May 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21?$8.84May 17, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".