Worthwhile-Ornament
0x08155f2d7007d82b5f1954fa5bca737758141dc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$100.69
Total PnL
$-54.63
Realised
$-4.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
21 shares @ 94.6¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$18.39
$-1.61
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
12 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.83
$0.43
- YES
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
65 shares @ 46.2¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.14
$-22.86
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
213 shares @ 6.6¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.70
$-7.30
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 26.3¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.45
$1.45
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.25
$1.25
- NO
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 20 million barrels per day in May?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$5.87
$-0.13
- NO
Databricks IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.33
$0.82
- NO
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$4.10
$0.20
- YES
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.03May 17, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.46May 17, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.00May 16, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 16, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nixon" during Chinese State Banquet?$0.00May 16, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 14?$0.00May 16, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?$0.00May 16, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 16, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.00May 16, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.65May 16, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.03May 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 16, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 16, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hollywood" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.00May 16, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill "AI" be said 20+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$5.56May 16, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo one announced as next James Bond?$1.01May 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$1.05May 15, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?$13.10May 15, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.00May 15, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$5.52May 14, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".