Elegant-Cloister
0x0cb10c40b0776e9ee8cef970af85724654dda76c
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$76.0K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$387.22
Win rate
52%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
65000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$38.7K
$6.2K
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
65000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.3K
$-6.2K
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
5000 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.0K
$87.50
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3836 shares @ 30.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.7K
$542.98
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 61.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$684.50
$68.50
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5791 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$524.06
$60.80
- YES
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
716 shares @ 16.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$475.97
$361.45
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
598 shares @ 69.7¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$403.32
$-13.28
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
892 shares @ 23.0¢·now 34.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$310.77
$105.61
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
500 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$292.50
$7.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.17May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.05May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$6.39May 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.10May 18, 00:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.95May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$7.27May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLCritical Discord Incident by May 31?$89.05May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$30.00May 17, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$627.98May 17, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?$5.56May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.9KMay 17, 03:08 UTC
- MERGEWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.0KMay 17, 02:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.83May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$7.75May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "COVID" or "Pandemic" during Bret Baier interview?$0.00May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$33.47May 16, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$6.20May 16, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $302.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".